This article focuses more on the current state of AI, on 5th Dec 2022. As a means of briefing others outside this industry, what has been going on recently, and what are its limitations. With a focus on recent developments in chatGPT, over long-term speculations.
In 2022, artificial intelligence (AI) has made some major strides in its capabilities. Largely in the two following areas:
Collectively, these "prompt-to-output" models are designed to take a prompt (or a question) and generate a finished product in either text (like a clickbait headline or programming code) or image form (an illustrated art image or stock images) based on that prompt.
This type of AI is incredibly powerful due to how simple it is to use, and it has the potential to revolutionize many different fields; it can literally feel like magic.
An example would be how a single prompt like
Can be used to generate the following image:
Or write business plans for a website:
Or even be used to help generate entire novels
Because the full scope of its capabilities really requires you to try it, to better understand the potential for yourself, I would highly recommend giving these services a try, while it’s still free at https://chat.openai.com/chat (it may turn into a paid service in the future)
Yes, but that includes dreaming up lies.
In an extremely convincing fashion that even experts can find it hard to tell the difference.
It can also be very stubborn in how it presents itself, so as hard as I tried to get it to help me write this article, unfortunately, it just couldn't be "me".
In a weird way, you should view these AI as unique assistants who ...
If you ever dealt with such an individual, you know that there are random nuggets of pure gold wisdom that they will say from time to time, and bulls#!t you will need to filter, as it dreams up the answer.
The later act of filtering is potentially the biggest danger of this new technology. As it can be very very difficult because of how convincing the AI structures its answer if you are not an expert in the respective field.
For example, as an experiment, I asked it questions in domains I had zero (or even negative) expertise, like cooking or chemistry. And I realized I have nearly no capability in validating its bluffs.
This is despite my best attempts to google and fact-check it at times, where it may give sometimes answers that are slightly different, but I have honestly no idea if it’s right or wrong. Unless I try it myself. Which can potentially be dangerous, seeing as how it can get things wrong in my area of expertise.
Yes, but it is not thinking, it is dreaming.
To elaborate, let’s start with an oversimplified explanation of how these AI models fundamentally work.
Now, let’s use a human analogy instead:
Flipping it back around
As such, this dreamlike state allows it both to make basic math mistakes with high confidence.
To hilariously answer questions as a cat when instructed:
It's difficult to predict exactly how the advancements in AI will impact the future of work, but there are some potential scenarios to consider.
One thing that seems clear is that the current wave of "prompt-to-output" models is having its "iPhone revolution moment".
Just as the iPhone changed how everyday people interact with software and ushered in the era of smartphones, prompt-to-output models have the potential to change how we work and interact with tools.
It has already started fundamentally changing industries today. Especially in SEO copywriting and stock illustration/photo industries.
The next wave could manifest in waves of AI assistant work tools and practical enhancements to existing tools, ultimately making automation more accessible and lowering the barrier of entry for performing tasks.
Regardless of the forms of changes, this is a significant development and every startup founder (including me) and product owner should be taking note of how to integrate AI into their business.
Just as the smartphone/iPhone era made entire industries and tools obsolete and created new domains of app-based tools, the rise of AI has the potential to do the same.
However, it's important to note that not all tools will be impacted by AI. Some industries may not see much change beyond a new skin or UI. Only time will tell which side your business falls on.
PS: if you are feeling FOMO, and are in the tech industry, chill - the iPhone and app revolution happened in months and years, not days. Do go on with your life and your holiday plans.
As long as you are not ignoring the potential changes, and making steps toward them - you are good.
If you are outside the tech industry, keep a lookout, and be ready to learn new tools, across the next few years - that may change your industry. And be prepared to learn and use them to your advantage.
~ Until next time 🖖 live long and prosper
The article was originally posted on the author’s substack here:
https://substack.tech-talk-cto.com/p/introducing-ai-chatgpt-and-how-it