How to Know If a Token Is Worth Buying These days, people completely turn off their brains and trust everything but their own analysis—Telegram chats, influencers, headlines, etc. That behavior turns your crypto portfolios into crypto wallets full of losses. This series is for those who want to think for themselves, not blindly follow crypto "experts." Here are 2 entry signals that influencers won’t show you. There are over 20,000 cryptocurrencies on the market today. Most of them are speculative junk, and their price is just a reflection of someone else’s greed.
What does a beginner see?"Price dropped — it must be cheap."⚠️ But that’s a mistake.A token could’ve gone 50x up and still be massively overvalued even after dropping 80%. There are over 20,000 cryptocurrencies on the market today. Most of them are speculative junk, and their price is just a reflection of someone else’s greed. What does a beginner see? "Price dropped — it must be cheap." ⚠️ But that’s a mistake. A token could’ve gone 50x up and still be massively overvalued even after dropping 80%. What are influencers doing meanwhile? What are influencers doing meanwhile? While you’re watching a "Top-5 Tokens to Buy Now" video, the market makers behind those projects — often the ones paying those influencers — are exiting, while you’re just getting in. Welcome to their exit liquidity club. Welcome to their exit liquidity club. In this article — 3 rational signals that actually work Is the token objectively cheap?
Who bought before you, and how much profit have they made? Is the token objectively cheap? Who bought before you, and how much profit have they made? VC Funds and Entry Price Why it matters: Almost every major project is initially funded by venture capital. Funds buy cheap and then sell — to us. They’re not holding for the tech. They’re here for returns. While influencers warm up retail interest, VCs quietly exit. If you're buying the "dip" at $1, that may be someone's 15x exit. If you're buying the "dip" at $1, that may be someone's 15x exit. What to analyze: What to analyze: Entry price of seed/private investors
What % allocation they have
Unlock schedules — and whether their tokens have already hit the market (or been sold OTC anyway)
How much profit they’ve already made Entry price of seed/private investors What % allocation they have Unlock schedules — and whether their tokens have already hit the market (or been sold OTC anyway) How much profit they’ve already made Let’s review OP, STRK, and SUI as examples. OP - Optimism investors entry price Investors contributed $178.5M
Got 17% of the supply = ~730M tokens
Entry price: $0.24 per token
Current price: $0.64 → already ~3x Investors contributed $178.5M Got 17% of the supply = ~730M tokens Entry price: $0.24 per token Current price: $0.64 → already ~3x ! VCs don’t enter for just 3x. In a strong project, they aim for 10x, 20x, even 50x returns. ! VCs don’t enter for just 3x. In a strong project, they aim for 10x, 20x, even 50x returns. Target ranges might look like: Target ranges might look like: 10x = $2.40 20x = $4.80 50x = $12.00 STRK - Starknet investors entry price STRK Raised: $282.5M
Allocation: 1.817B tokens (18.17%)
Entry price: $0.155
Current price: $0.127 — below VC entry STRK Raised: $282.5M Allocation: 1.817B tokens (18.17%) Entry price: $0.155 Current price: $0.127 — below VC entry The market makers have dropped it under their own cost basis to flush out weak hands. This is when accumulation begins — not when it’s hyped at $1.5–2. The market makers have dropped it under their own cost basis to flush out weak hands. This is when accumulation begins — not when it’s hyped at $1.5–2. SUI - SUI investors entry price SUI Series A raised: $36M
Allocation: 714.2M tokens
Entry price: $0.0504
Current price: $3.40 → 68x SUI Series A raised: $36M SUI Allocation: 714.2M tokens Entry price: $0.0504 Current price: $3.40 → 68x Funds could have already exited with massive gains. Think carefully: do you want to be on the buying side of this chart? Funds could have already exited with massive gains. Think carefully: do you want to be on the buying side of this chart? Tool CryptoRank.io (Everything about tokenomics, fund rounds, unlocks, and VC entries.) Distance from ATH and ATL Why it matters: Why it matters: Influencers love to say: "This token is at the bottom!" Influencers love to say: "This token is at the bottom!" But — compared to what? But — compared to what? 2x above ATL is not a bottom.
A 50% drop from ATH is not enough for safe entries. 2x above ATL is not a bottom. A 50% drop from ATH is not enough for safe entries. A more grounded strategy is to: A more grounded strategy is to: Look for tokens that have dropped at least 70% from ATH
Are trading no more than 2–3x above ATL Look for tokens that have dropped at least 70% from ATH Are trading no more than 2–3x above ATL Let’s review the same examples again. Let’s review the same examples again. OP - ATL and ATH Price Comparison Current price: $0.646 ATL: $0.40 → ~45% up from ATL ATH: $4.77 → ~87% drawdown STRK - ATL and ATH Price Comparison STRK STRK Current price: $0.13 ATL: $0.108 → ~20% up from ATL ATH: $2.65 → ~95% down from ATH SUI - ATL and ATH Price Comparison SUI Current price: $3.40 ATL: $0.34 → up ~890% from ATL ATH: $5.36 → ~36% drawdown Yes, this is the same token still being hyped as "undervalued" on YouTube and Twitter. Yes, this is the same token still being hyped as "undervalued" on YouTube and Twitter. Summary Tool TradingView — for tracking ATH/ATL, volume zones, and market structure. Why You Shouldn’t Trust Influencers or News Influencers earn from traffic and referral links, not from trading.
News is always late — written after the move, not before.Hype is their exit — your entry. Influencers earn from traffic and referral links, not from trading. Influencers earn from traffic and referral links, not from trading. Influencers earn from traffic and referral links, not from trading. News is always late — written after the move, not before. News is always late — written after the move, not before. News is always late — written after the move, not before. Hype is their exit — your entry. Hype is their exit — your entry. Hype is their exit — your entry. Don’t buy just because "everyone’s talking about it." Final Thoughts Buying a token is not about belief, it’s about numbers. Now you know two real filters to evaluate whether a coin is worth buying — and why you shouldn’t blindly follow influencers with dog avatars and "TOP 3 MOON COINS" thumbnails. 📣 Want more data-backed strategies and anti-FOMO tactics? Share this article — and Part 2 is coming soon. Editor’s note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex, and involve high risks. This can mean high prices volatility and potential loss of your initial investment. You should consider your financial situation, investment purposes, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The HackerNoon editorial team has only verified the story for grammatical accuracy and does not endorse or guarantee the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the information stated in this article. #DYOR Editor’s note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex, and involve high risks. This can mean high prices volatility and potential loss of your initial investment. You should consider your financial situation, investment purposes, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The HackerNoon editorial team has only verified the story for grammatical accuracy and does not endorse or guarantee the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the information stated in this article. #DYOR Editor’s note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex, and involve high risks. This can mean high prices volatility and potential loss of your initial investment. You should consider your financial situation, investment purposes, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The HackerNoon editorial team has only verified the story for grammatical accuracy and does not endorse or guarantee the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the information stated in this article. #DYOR Editor’s note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex, and involve high risks. This can mean high prices volatility and potential loss of your initial investment. You should consider your financial situation, investment purposes, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The HackerNoon editorial team has only verified the story for grammatical accuracy and does not endorse or guarantee the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the information stated in this article. #DYOR

At the time of publication, the writer was hodling. 

Optimism

Starknet

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