Too Long; Didn't Read
The Russian army has already adapted its actions to the long war in Ukraine. Putin's strategic calm is based on the successful implementation of his plan in Chechnya. Moscow is counting on the same result because it uses the same template. Ukraine is much larger, and its ability to defend itself is much higher, as is the West's desire to prevent a Chechen scenario. Putin sees an opportunity to win by slowly strangling Ukraine's economy with strikes on cities, cultural sites, civilians, and infrastructure.