I hope this will be my final piece on Tonga's connectivity saga. In the wake of my previous analysis critiquing Tonga's submarine cable infrastructure, I present a tangible, forward thinking solution that challenges the status quo of our national connectivity strategy. The Game Changing Alternative: Starlink Community Gateway While governments debate infrastructure and contractors count their potential profits, a revolutionary approach stands ready to transform Tonga's internet landscape. The Starlink Community Gateway isn't just an alternative, it's a comprehensive solution that addresses our connectivity challenges head-on. The Numbers Speak Volumes Let's break down the stark financial reality: Current proposed cable project: 80 million pa'anga Starlink Community Gateway solution: Approximately 32.1 million pa'anga Savings: Nearly 60% of the proposed budget Coverage: All major island groups (Tongatapu, Ha'apai, Vava'u) Technical Superiority The Starlink solution offers capabilities that make our current cable infrastructure look antiquated: Fiber-like speeds up to 10 Gbps (symmetric upload/download) Over 99% uptime reliability Flexible distribution technologies including: Last-mile fiber Fixed wireless Mobile wireless connectivity The Geopolitical Elephant in the Room We're acutely aware that New Zealand and Australia will be reluctant to fund this proposed solution, and it isn't purely technical. It could fundamentally be about sovereignty and geopolitical influence. Their preferred cable infrastructure represents more than just connectivity, it sure looks like a strategic justification for a submarine cable investment that has gone redundant because no one else in the Pacific has been utilizing the Hawaiki cable other than American Samoa. Breaking Down the Investment The Starlink Community Gateway requires: Initial Setup: USD$1.25 million per gateway Monthly Service: USD$75,000 per Gbps Total 15-Year Investment: USD$13,500,000 = 32.1 million pa'anga Compared to the 80-million pa'anga cable project, this solution: Costs significantly less Provides more reliable connectivity Offers greater technological flexibility Reduces dependency on vulnerable submarine infrastructure Detailed Cost Analysis For a 1 Gbps scenario: Initial setup cost: USD $1,250,000.00 Monthly cost at Year 1: USD$900,000 Monthly cost at Year 15: USD$116,560.09 Total cost after 15 years: USD $13,500,000 Total cost for redundancy across all islands in Tongan Pa'anga (15 years): TOP $32,104,620 This is still way cheaper than the $80 million submarine cable option and solves all our connectivity issues. Resilience in the Face of Environmental Challenges Tonga's geographical reality i.e. a seismically active maritime environment that demands a resilient solution. Satellite technology eliminates the risks associated with submarine cables: No physical infrastructure vulnerable to earthquakes and ships dragging their anchors Instant rerouting capabilities Rapid deployment and maintenance A Message to Decision Makers To our ministers and policy makers: This isn't just about technology. It's about investing in our people's future. A 60% more affordable, technologically superior solution exists. The question is whether we have the courage to embrace it, but unfortunately we do not having the funding to pursue it and our development partners do not see any return on it for their investment. The People's Technology Starlink represents more than an internet solution, it's a lifeline for our communities. It symbolizes our ability to leapfrog traditional infrastructure limitations and position ourselves at the forefront of technological innovation. The Innovation Dividend: Flexibility vs. Lock-In The most profound advantage of the Starlink Community Gateway is its inherent flexibility, a stark contrast to the rigid, 15-year lock-in of the proposed submarine cable project. This isn't just about technology, it's about future proofing our national connectivity strategy. The Exponential Innovation Curve With the submarine cable project, Tonga is committing to a static technological solution that will become obsolete before the contract expires. In contrast, the Starlink approach offers: Pay-as-You-Go Model: Unlike the fixed infrastructure investment, Starlink allows for: Incremental upgrades Flexible scaling Immediate adaptation to technological advances Cost Trajectory: The economics of satellite technology follow a dramatically different path: Initial investment remains stable Technology costs decrease logarithmically Performance continues to improve exponentially A Glimpse into the Future Consider the technological landscape over 15 years: 2025: Current Starlink technology at $75,000 per Gbps 2030: Anticipated 40-50% reduction in per Gbps costs 2035: Potential for 70-80% cost decrease with emerging technologies 2040: Unimaginable improvements in satellite connectivity The submarine cable represents a snapshot in time i.e. frozen for 15 years. The Starlink Community Gateway is a living, breathing solution that evolves with technological innovation. Conclusion: A Bold Path Forward Tonga stands at a critical junction. We can continue down the path of expensive, vulnerable infrastructure, or we can choose a bold, innovative approach that truly serves our people. The Starlink Community Gateway isn't just an alternative. It's our gateway to a more connected, resilient future. Having said all of that, there is one profound truth when it comes to telecommunications: Nothing comes free in this world, there will always be costs associated with it. I hope this will be my final piece on Tonga's connectivity saga. In the wake of my previous analysis critiquing Tonga's submarine cable infrastructure, I present a tangible, forward thinking solution that challenges the status quo of our national connectivity strategy. previous The Game Changing Alternative: Starlink Community Gateway While governments debate infrastructure and contractors count their potential profits, a revolutionary approach stands ready to transform Tonga's internet landscape. The Starlink Community Gateway isn't just an alternative, it's a comprehensive solution that addresses our connectivity challenges head-on. The Numbers Speak Volumes Let's break down the stark financial reality: Current proposed cable project: 80 million pa'anga Starlink Community Gateway solution: Approximately 32.1 million pa'anga Savings: Nearly 60% of the proposed budget Coverage: All major island groups (Tongatapu, Ha'apai, Vava'u) Current proposed cable project: 80 million pa'anga Starlink Community Gateway solution: Approximately 32.1 million pa'anga Savings: Nearly 60% of the proposed budget Coverage: All major island groups (Tongatapu, Ha'apai, Vava'u) Technical Superiority The Starlink solution offers capabilities that make our current cable infrastructure look antiquated: Fiber-like speeds up to 10 Gbps (symmetric upload/download) Over 99% uptime reliability Flexible distribution technologies including: Last-mile fiber Fixed wireless Mobile wireless connectivity Fiber-like speeds up to 10 Gbps (symmetric upload/download) Over 99% uptime reliability Flexible distribution technologies including: Last-mile fiber Fixed wireless Mobile wireless connectivity The Geopolitical Elephant in the Room We're acutely aware that New Zealand and Australia will be reluctant to fund this proposed solution, and it isn't purely technical. It could fundamentally be about sovereignty and geopolitical influence. Their preferred cable infrastructure represents more than just connectivity, it sure looks like a strategic justification for a submarine cable investment that has gone redundant because no one else in the Pacific has been utilizing the Hawaiki cable other than American Samoa. Breaking Down the Investment The Starlink Community Gateway requires: Initial Setup: USD$1.25 million per gateway Monthly Service: USD$75,000 per Gbps Total 15-Year Investment: USD$13,500,000 = 32.1 million pa'anga Initial Setup: USD$1.25 million per gateway Initial Setup: USD$1.25 million per gateway Monthly Service: USD$75,000 per Gbps Monthly Service: USD$75,000 per Gbps Total 15-Year Investment: USD$13,500,000 = 32.1 million pa'anga Total 15-Year Investment: USD$13,500,000 = 32.1 million pa'anga Compared to the 80-million pa'anga cable project, this solution: Costs significantly less Provides more reliable connectivity Offers greater technological flexibility Reduces dependency on vulnerable submarine infrastructure Costs significantly less Provides more reliable connectivity Offers greater technological flexibility Reduces dependency on vulnerable submarine infrastructure Detailed Cost Analysis For a 1 Gbps scenario: Initial setup cost: USD $1,250,000.00 Monthly cost at Year 1: USD$900,000 Monthly cost at Year 15: USD$116,560.09 Total cost after 15 years: USD $13,500,000 Total cost for redundancy across all islands in Tongan Pa'anga (15 years): TOP $32,104,620 Initial setup cost: USD $1,250,000.00 Monthly cost at Year 1: USD$900,000 Monthly cost at Year 15: USD$116,560.09 Total cost after 15 years: USD $13,500,000 Total cost for redundancy across all islands in Tongan Pa'anga (15 years): TOP $32,104,620 This is still way cheaper than the $80 million submarine cable option and solves all our connectivity issues. Resilience in the Face of Environmental Challenges Tonga's geographical reality i.e. a seismically active maritime environment that demands a resilient solution. Satellite technology eliminates the risks associated with submarine cables: No physical infrastructure vulnerable to earthquakes and ships dragging their anchors Instant rerouting capabilities Rapid deployment and maintenance No physical infrastructure vulnerable to earthquakes and ships dragging their anchors Instant rerouting capabilities Rapid deployment and maintenance A Message to Decision Makers To our ministers and policy makers: This isn't just about technology. It's about investing in our people's future. A 60% more affordable, technologically superior solution exists. The question is whether we have the courage to embrace it, but unfortunately we do not having the funding to pursue it and our development partners do not see any return on it for their investment. The People's Technology Starlink represents more than an internet solution, it's a lifeline for our communities. It symbolizes our ability to leapfrog traditional infrastructure limitations and position ourselves at the forefront of technological innovation. The Innovation Dividend: Flexibility vs. Lock-In The most profound advantage of the Starlink Community Gateway is its inherent flexibility, a stark contrast to the rigid, 15-year lock-in of the proposed submarine cable project. This isn't just about technology, it's about future proofing our national connectivity strategy. The Exponential Innovation Curve With the submarine cable project, Tonga is committing to a static technological solution that will become obsolete before the contract expires. In contrast, the Starlink approach offers: Pay-as-You-Go Model : Unlike the fixed infrastructure investment, Starlink allows for: Pay-as-You-Go Model Incremental upgrades Flexible scaling Immediate adaptation to technological advances Incremental upgrades Incremental upgrades Flexible scaling Flexible scaling Immediate adaptation to technological advances Immediate adaptation to technological advances Cost Trajectory : The economics of satellite technology follow a dramatically different path: Cost Trajectory Initial investment remains stable Technology costs decrease logarithmically Performance continues to improve exponentially Initial investment remains stable Technology costs decrease logarithmically Performance continues to improve exponentially A Glimpse into the Future Consider the technological landscape over 15 years: 2025: Current Starlink technology at $75,000 per Gbps 2030: Anticipated 40-50% reduction in per Gbps costs 2035: Potential for 70-80% cost decrease with emerging technologies 2040: Unimaginable improvements in satellite connectivity 2025: Current Starlink technology at $75,000 per Gbps 2030: Anticipated 40-50% reduction in per Gbps costs 2035: Potential for 70-80% cost decrease with emerging technologies 2040: Unimaginable improvements in satellite connectivity The submarine cable represents a snapshot in time i.e. frozen for 15 years. The Starlink Community Gateway is a living, breathing solution that evolves with technological innovation. Conclusion: A Bold Path Forward Tonga stands at a critical junction. We can continue down the path of expensive, vulnerable infrastructure, or we can choose a bold, innovative approach that truly serves our people. The Starlink Community Gateway isn't just an alternative. It's our gateway to a more connected, resilient future. Having said all of that, there is one profound truth when it comes to telecommunications: Nothing comes free in this world, there will always be costs associated with it.