“Science is the father of knowledge, but opinion breeds ignorance.” — Hippocrates
Since the beginning of this surreal period I have only been worried about one thing — not keeping myself alive by avoiding being infected by the coronavirus — but seriously documenting myself to try to have a precise opinion of what this pandemic is and what we should do now and in the medium term to be able to manage it. In this article, I want to share with you the 17 most important resources that have helped me in this difficult moment to create my own opinion about the situation itself, and how to get out of it. I do not allow myself to influence your opinion and, presenting the sources, I only tell you the question that I asked myself to then track down that source.
You are free to use it as you see fit. I have tried to filter sources only from authoritative authors and supported by the scientific community. The sources are not in order of importance, I list them as I can think of.
The main source, as for everyone, is the GIS Dashboard at Johns Hopkins University. You can find it here: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html what is important is to understand these numbers. You can find the explanation in the caption below the world map and it tells you the following:
Confirmed cases include presumptive positive cases.
Recovered cases outside China are estimates based on local media reports and may be substantially lower than the true number.
Active cases = total confirmed — total recovered — total deaths.
Make sure you understand the definition of numbers. To read the dashboard, it is important to understand what those numbers are created from (real facts).
Living in Switzerland, I also use this dashboard: https://corona-data.ch
You can find this in this article in the South China Morning Post: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3074991/coronavirus-chinas-first-confirmed-covid-19-case-traced-back
The answer is on the 17th of November 2019.
Here you have to be careful to have very credible sources. This is a very difficult question to answer. I found this study at Imperial College London. It contains a lot of very important information and mathematical models: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-Europe-estimates-and-NPI-impact-30-03-2020.pdf
It wasn’t easy to find reliable sources here. This link from the University of Oxford project is perhaps the most valid one: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-testing
According to a U.S. Government document, it will last 18 months, the time to find a vaccine: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/us/politics/trump-coronavirus-plan.html
According to The New England Journal of Medicine is 1,4%: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032
For this answer, I recommend this study by The Lancet: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30567-5/fulltext
This was one of the pieces of information that took the longest to find. The problem is that there is a lot of fake news on this topic. At first, there was talk of a cost between $1,000 and $3,000. In the end, the cost is EU 1.62 per each test. I was surprised by how many journalists don’t document themselves when they write articles. (!) You can find the information here: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/24/asia/testing-coronavirus-science-intl-hnk/index.html
That’s the most difficult question I’ve asked myself. There is no answer But I found an interesting video of Alanna Shaikh:
Immunity testing is important to restart a “normal” life: https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/gauging-the-crisis_covid-19-immunity-testing-to-begin-in-some-swiss-hospitals/45653466
This has not been demonstrated yet. There is a specific study on Annals of Internal Medicine of the presence of the virus in sputum and faces despite a negative test. https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2764036/sars-cov-2-positive-sputum-feces-after-conversion-pharyngeal-samples
These are probably the 17 most useful resources I found in my research on Coronavirus. Do you have any interesting authoritative links? Add the link in the comments, I’m curious to see other useful sources for everyone!
Previously published at https://medium.com/@federicocesconi/covid-19-build-your-own-opinion-toolkit-7262a45135be