The global corona pandemic has not only turned all of our private lives upside down, but also changed the financial market considerably. Central banks are printing more money than they have done in a very long time out of an emergency situation, national debts are increasing and we have a record-high unemployment rate.
These are all factors that are crumbling confidence in the state and its currency. As a result, many people want to protect themselves, and the 12-month record high of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin may show that it is seen by many as a viable money alternative. But could Bitcoin really replace our current currency, the dollar? And what are the advantages of Bitcoin over fiat money?
You can continue reading this article or watch my detailed YouTube Video on that topic:
To understand this, one must first understand the fundamentals of money, starting with the question:
Money is what people use to pay each other. That answer is simple, of course, but how do you determine which means of payment is best suited for this purpose?
In order to answer this question, one must first answer what money must be able to do. There are three main functions:
1. Store Value
The value of money should preferably not be subject to high fluctuations. This is easy to understand: if I work and bring value, I earn money. With this money, I should of course be able to get an appropriate equivalent value in the future.
2. Be easily exchangeable
Money is only really money when you can get something useful in exchange, like food. Money must therefore be able to act as a medium of exchange – preferably as quickly and easily as possible.
3. Have scale
Money must have a fixed scale and be easily calculable. Diamonds, for example, may fulfil the above two points reasonably well, but the value is difficult to calculate and can vary even though the diamonds are the same size.
Money is nothing more than a means of payment, which should fulfil these three functions as well as possible. Some means of payment can of course do this better and others worse, but more about this later.
Before we talk about that, I would like to briefly mention another function that money, especially money issued centrally, often fulfills:
4. Control instrument
Much of the money currently in circulation is, in my view, only not disappearing and being replaced because large states, companies, and banks can use it to influence and manipulate a huge part of the population – especially in connection with the third point, the scale, which we will also talk about later.
Now that we know what functions money has to fulfill, the next logical question is: which means of payment is best suited for this? What, no matter what happens, is subject to hardly any fluctuations in value, is extremely easy to exchange, and has a fixed, easily calculable scale? Of course, there is no single true solution, and opinions on this are sometimes very different, but there are seven basic points that make a payment method – if it meets all seven – really very good and useful.
1. Durable
Of course, a means of payment should not have an expiry date or otherwise be able to disappear or become unusable, such as rusty metal.
2. Portable
In the past, people sometimes used large, heavy lumps of stone as a payment method. Not very practical.
3. Fungible
A technical term. It means, for example, that a 1 dollar bill must have the same value as another, and two 5 dollar bills the same value as a 10 dollar bill. This is problematic in the context of diamonds, for example.
4. Verifiable
Another point why diamonds, gold, etc. drop out: the value of the means of payment must be easily and quickly verifiable for everyone.
5. Divisible
Imagine we had nothing smaller than 100 dollar bills. Wouldn’t really work, would it? A good currency should be divisible into smallest pieces.
6. Scarce
The means of payment should be difficult to obtain: if pebbles were used, anyone could simply go and get them themselves without much effort, and without really bringing value (work).
7. Acceptance
No money in the world is of any use to you unless it is recognized as money. That is also the reason why the dollar is the reserve currency: there is no more globally recognized means of payment.
So before we now think about what the best means of payment (currency) could be, let us have a look at what mankind has used as money so far, and how it performs under the seven aspects we just mentioned.
At the very beginning, there was the barter trade.
Eggs, bread, cows, one's own labor… People bartered all sorts of things, and there were no standard means of payment.
The big problems here:
Surprisingly, however, the barter trade does still work, as it is:
From the barter trade developed have collectors’ items such as rare stones, shells, feathers, etc.
The key advantage over “classic” bartering is one thing above all: durability. It is only dead things, which do not spoil, die, etc., but the other points like verifiability suffer a little bit from it, and it is not yet divisible or fungible. So it is still a relatively unsuitable means of payment.
In order to also solve these major problems, the pool of collectibles had to become more specific and smaller. Precious metals, above all gold, have prevailed here. In the case of gold, one notices relatively quickly that a large part of the previous problems became better:
So you can see: Gold has already solved many problems here, but not all. First and foremost, the lack of divisibility, verifiability, and of course digital use nowadays. Gold may also be acceptable in some other aspects but does not yet fully meet the criteria to be a “perfect” means of payment. A huge plus point is of course the long track record and the resulting great trust that we humans have in gold today.
Until now, we did not have a central party responsible for the monetary system. Anyone could create “money” in barter, anyone could mine for gold, but that will change with the next historical currency:
Paper gold.
The basic concept behind it is relatively simple: you take the physical gold, keep it safe (for example in a state bank), and instead of using the physical gold, you are issued a written certificate that you own the gold. At first glance, of course, this is a wonderful solution, because now you don’t have most of the problems of physical gold anymore: it is much easier to transport, much easier to verify, and now it can be divided quickly and easily.
Acceptance in society was also very good for the time being. However, a huge problem caused by this centralized system was that banks relatively quickly handed out sometimes more paper gold than they actually held in safekeeping. So for the first time, the scarcity aspect became a problem. And for the first time money also fulfilled the fourth function which I mentioned at the beginning: It became a control instrument, as states now began to “print money” at will, creating something out of nothing that should actually have some value attached to it.
The year the US and many states following its lead decided to do something that had long been foreseeable at that time: the so-called “gold standard” was officially abolished, and from that point on we had money that was not covered by anything – for which no gold was deposited – so-called fiat money, for example euros or dollars.
This decision is more serious than one might think because until now one just had to trust history: when productivity increased and value was created, money increased. From then on, however, people now had to trust a central party, the government, and money could also rise without productivity increasing.
But let’s look at fiat money and see the seven points that a perfect means of payment would fulfill: Fiat money is digitally portable in seconds, durable, verifiable, fungible, divisible, and as long as there is a stable government, extremely well accepted. One thing, however, it is no longer at all: scarce
The big problem with that? The money inflates. This means that by creating new money, for example by printing dollars, your saved 10,000 dollars become worth less (you can buy less with it) because all of a sudden there is simply more money in circulation to be spent – while the supply of services and goods is still the same. And this is the monetary system we are still in almost 50 years later, in 2020.
As mentioned at the beginning of this article, an extremely large amount of money is being printed right now – but you don’t notice much of a strong inflation and a loss of purchasing power, do you? Food costs about the same and also otherwise it doesn’t seem as if you have lost purchasing power with your saved money.
However, this appearance is deceptive: very many people have sold their investments, such as shares, out of necessity. So all in all, many people currently hold Fiat currencies. However, these investments, in particular shares, have risen a lot in price instead of falling or not rising further due to a flood of supply and little demand.
Why? There has been a huge amount of money printed, a lot of it has been allocated to companies, and fiat currencies have lost purchasing power as a result – especially in the investment sector. The shares did not increase in value, but the currency decreased in value, so you can buy less for the same amount.
The comparison with gold: if you compare the development of share prices with non-inflationary money such as gold, for example, the prices look quite different. Gold also appears to have “risen in value” this year – compared to fiat currencies – in reality, fiat money has simply fallen in value due to strong inflation (money being created out of thin air)
So one thing becomes evident: the lack of scarce in fiat money is a big problem
Fiat money fulfills six of the seven points of a “perfect” means of payment, but it is becoming increasingly clear that this one missing point is serious, especially in the long term. Is there really no means of payment that could fulfill all 7 points?
Let’s consider the seven points when using Bitcoin as a means of payment:
1. Durability: since Bitcoin is digital, it never expires
2. Portable: it is just as portable as fiat money, sometimes even faster (bank transfers often take several days, especially internationally. Bitcoin transfers only take minutes)
3. Fungible: Isn’t really behind fiat money here either.
4. Verifiable: perhaps even more forgery-proof and verifiable than fiat money
5. Divisible: the smallest unit of Bitcoin is a Satoshi – currently worth well under a cent
6. Scarce: since with Bitcoin you don’t trust any government but logical mathematics, Bitcoin is the scarcest means of payment in history
7. Acceptance: Bitcoin is not yet recognized as money by general society
So you can see that Bitcoin is doing extremely well in six of the seven points, just like Fiat money, with the difference that in Bitcoin the missing point is not a fault of Bitcoin and can be changed at any time by us as a society, which would make it meet all seven points.
So can Bitcoin function as a means of payment? Yes, Bitcoin would work perfectly as a means of payment – even better than our current fiat money!
Then why is Bitcoin not anywhere used as a state currency yet?
Well, aside from the aspect of large states and banks, of course, disliking this idea because they would use control and couldn't manipulate large parts of the population anymore, society has had barely 11 years – since the invention of Bitcoin in 2008/2009 – to recognize Bitcoin as a means of payment. Another reason is that Bitcoin was not very user-friendly, especially in the beginning, and you had to be technically very well versed to use Bitcoin. In the meantime, this has become much easier, and in the long term, our society is also developing into more and more people who are so-called “digital natives” and who have no problems at all in finding their way around applications such as Bitcoin.
So do I believe that Bitcoin will ever establish itself as a means of payment in our society? No, I think so-called Stablecoins are much more likely – but we will go deeper into that in a future article.
What I do believe, however, is that Bitcoin has already partially established itself as an investment opportunity and digital gold and will continue to do so. And if you want to get returns on your Bitcoin in a completely transparent way similar to how you get dividends in shares or rent in real estate, you can register now at Cake: https://cakedefi.com/
Also, I'd be happy to read your feedback in the comments!
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