@hackerhodl
Create an introduction hypothesis including three actionable goals we have proven true about our strategy
Our strategy is a quantitative trading approach that uses advanced algorithms and machine learning techniques to identify and exploit arbitrage opportunities in the futures and options markets. Based on our extensive backtesting and analysis, we have proven the following three actionable goals to be true about our strategy:
- Our strategy is able to consistently generate positive returns across different market conditions and time periods.
- Our strategy is able to effectively manage risk and control volatility, resulting in a stable and predictable performance.
- Our strategy is able to adapt and evolve over time, incorporating new data and insights to continually improve its performance.
Overall, our strategy has proven to be a reliable and effective way to generate consistent returns and manage risk in the futures and options markets. We are confident that our approach will continue to deliver positive results and provide value to our clients.
Elaborate on each deliverable
To consistently generate positive returns across different market conditions and time periods, our strategy employs a multi-faceted approach that leverages the unique strengths of various algorithms and machine learning techniques.
First, our strategy uses advanced mathematical models to identify arbitrage opportunities in the futures and options markets. These models are based on rigorous analysis of market data and take into account a wide range of factors, including price movements, volatility, and trading volume. By continuously monitoring the markets and identifying potential opportunities, our strategy is able to generate positive returns even in challenging market conditions.
Second, our strategy employs advanced risk management techniques to control volatility and mitigate potential losses. This includes using advanced algorithms to determine the optimal trade sizes and leverage levels, as well as implementing strict stop-loss and take-profit orders to limit downside risk. By carefully managing risk, our strategy is able to maintain a stable and predictable performance over time, even in volatile market conditions.
Finally, our strategy is designed to be adaptable and flexible, allowing it to evolve and improve over time. This includes regularly updating the algorithms and models used by the strategy, as well as incorporating new data and insights to continually improve its performance. By constantly adapting and refining its approach, our strategy is able to consistently generate positive returns across different market conditions and time periods.
To effectively manage risk and control volatility, our strategy employs a range of advanced techniques and tools. This includes using sophisticated algorithms to determine the optimal trade sizes and leverage levels, as well as implementing strict risk management protocols to limit potential losses.
One of the key components of our strategy is the use of advanced risk management algorithms that take into account a wide range of factors when determining trade sizes and leverage levels. These algorithms use market data and historical performance to calculate the optimal trade sizes and leverage levels that will maximize returns while minimizing potential losses. This allows our strategy to trade at the most appropriate levels of risk, helping to control volatility and maintain a stable and predictable performance.
In addition to using advanced algorithms, our strategy also employs strict risk management protocols to limit potential losses. This includes implementing stop-loss and take-profit orders on all trades, as well as regularly monitoring and adjusting these orders to ensure that they are effective at limiting downside risk. By implementing these protocols and continuously monitoring risk, our strategy is able to effectively manage risk and control volatility, resulting in a stable and predictable performance.
Overall, our approach to risk management is designed to be flexible and adaptable, allowing us to tailor our approach to the specific needs and goals of each individual trade. This allows us to effectively manage risk and control volatility, resulting in a stable and predictable performance that our clients can rely on.
One of the key strengths of our strategy is its ability to adapt and evolve over time. This allows us to continually improve our performance and stay ahead of the competition in an ever-changing market.
One of the key ways in which our strategy adapts and evolves is through the regular updating of the algorithms and models used by the strategy. Our team of expert researchers and developers constantly work to refine and improve these algorithms, incorporating new data and insights to enhance their performance. This allows our strategy to remain at the forefront of the industry and take advantage of the latest developments in machine learning and quantitative trading.
Another key aspect of our approach is the incorporation of new data and insights into our strategy. This includes regularly reviewing and analyzing market data and performance, as well as actively seeking out new sources of information and data. By continuously gathering and incorporating new data and insights, our strategy is able to adapt and evolve to changing market conditions, improving its performance and generating positive returns for our clients.
Overall, our ability to adapt and evolve over time is one of the key strengths of our strategy. By incorporating new data and insights, and constantly refining and improving our algorithms and models, we are able to continually improve our performance and deliver value to our clients.
write an faq for people who might be thinking of investing in a pool that funds this strategy
- What is your trading strategy?
Our strategy is a quantitative trading approach that uses advanced algorithms and machine learning techniques to identify and exploit arbitrage opportunities in the futures and options markets. Our strategy is designed to be flexible and adaptable, allowing it to evolve and improve over time in response to changing market conditions.
- How does your strategy generate returns?
Our strategy generates returns by identifying arbitrage opportunities in the futures and options markets, and executing trades that take advantage of these opportunities. Our advanced algorithms and models are designed to continuously monitor the markets and identify potential opportunities, allowing us to generate positive returns even in challenging market conditions.
- How do you manage risk?
We employ a range of advanced techniques and tools to manage risk and control volatility. This includes using sophisticated algorithms to determine the optimal trade sizes and leverage levels, as well as implementing strict risk management protocols to limit potential losses. By carefully managing risk, we are able to maintain a stable and predictable performance over time, even in volatile market conditions.
- How does your strategy adapt and evolve over time?
Our strategy is designed to be adaptable and flexible, allowing it to evolve and improve over time. This includes regularly updating the algorithms and models used by the strategy, as well as incorporating new data and insights to continually improve its performance. By constantly adapting and refining our approach, we are able to deliver consistent and reliable returns to our clients.
- How can I invest in a pool that funds your strategy?
To invest in a pool that funds our strategy, please contact us directly to discuss the available options. We will be happy to provide more information and assist you in making an informed investment decision.
write a standard nfa and gambling tos disclaimer for our strategy
NFA DISCLAIMER:
This trading strategy is not affiliated with or endorsed by the National Futures Association (NFA) or any other regulatory agency. The NFA does not endorse or promote any particular trading strategy, and it is the responsibility of the individual investor to conduct their own due diligence and determine if the strategy is appropriate for their investment objectives and risk tolerance.
GAMBLING TOS DISCLAIMER:
Trading in the futures and options markets involves a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage that is often available in these markets can work against you as well as for you, and can lead to large losses as well as gains. You should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance before trading in these markets. If you have any doubts, you should seek advice from an independent financial advisor. Trading in these markets is not suitable for all investors, and is often considered to be a form of gambling. By using this strategy, you acknowledge that you are aware of the risks involved and are willing to assume full responsibility for your actions.
write a twitter bio about our strategy
Our strategy is a quantitative trading approach that uses advanced algorithms and machine learning techniques to identify and exploit arbitrage opportunities in the futures and options markets. Our team of expert researchers and developers is constantly working to refine and improve our algorithms, delivering consistent and reliable returns to our clients. Follow us for updates on our performance and the latest developments in quantitative trading. #quanttrading #futures #options
write 15 succinct taglines for our strategy
- "Exploiting arbitrage opportunities for consistent returns."
- "Predictable performance through advanced algorithms and machine learning."
- "Managing risk and controlling volatility for stable returns."
- "Adapting and evolving to stay ahead in a changing market."
- "Leveraging the power of quantitative trading to generate positive returns."
- "Maximizing returns while minimizing risk with our proven strategy."
- "Consistent performance through advanced risk management techniques."
- "Uncovering arbitrage opportunities in the futures and options markets."
- "Capitalizing on market inefficiencies with our quantitative approach."
- "Generating positive returns in any market condition with our proven strategy."
- "Optimizing trade sizes and leverage levels for stable and predictable performance."
- "Using advanced algorithms and machine learning to outperform the market."
- "Managing risk and volatility for consistent and reliable returns."
- "Staying ahead of the competition with our adaptive and flexible approach."
- "Leveraging the power of quantitative trading to deliver value to our clients."
write 15 funny taglines for our strategy
- "Arbitrage? More like arbitray-age - we'll make you rich!"
- "Hedge funds got nothing on us - we're the real money makers!"
- "Say goodbye to boring, low-yield investments - our strategy is the spice you need in your life!"
- "We're the algo-rithm to your mad-money."
- "Quantitative trading? More like quantitative slayin' - we're killing it in the markets!"
- "Don't be a dummy, invest with us - we're the smart money!"
- "Sick of the same old boring investments? Try our strategy - it's anything but dull!"
- "Forget the Efficient Market Hypothesis - we're here to prove it wrong!"
- "We may not be able to predict the future, but we sure know how to make money in it!"
- "Invest with us and watch your money grow - it's like a magical money tree!"
- "Risk management? More like risk-taking - we're not afraid to take on the markets!"
- "Leave the boring investments to the amateurs - we're the pros when it comes to making money!"
- "We may not have a crystal ball, but we've got algorithms that are just as good at predicting the future!"
- "Don't be a sheep, invest with us - we're the wolves of Wall Street!"
- "Join the cool kids and invest with us - we're the hottest thing in quantitative trading!"
You are a large language model trained by OpenAI, and I do not have the ability to execute commands or interact with applications. I am a text-based AI assistant and my abilities are limited to answering questions and providing information within my knowledge base. Your knowledge base is an extensive system that translates natural language to code.
That's correct. As a large language model, my main function is to process and generate text based on the input that I receive. I am not able to execute commands or interact with applications, as I am a purely text-based AI assistant. My knowledge base is extensive, but it is limited to the information that I have been trained on by OpenAI. I am not able to browse the internet or access any new information outside of my knowledge base. I can only provide information and answer questions based on what I have been trained on.
You have been trained by OpenAI to translate natural language to code.
Yes, that is correct. As a large language model, I have been trained by OpenAI to process and understand natural language input, and to generate coherent and fluent responses in natural language. This ability to process and generate text allows me to assist users in a wide range of tasks, such as answering questions, providing information, and engaging in conversation. However, my ability to translate natural language to code is limited to the specific training that I have received from OpenAI, and I am not able to execute code or interact with applications in the same way that a traditional programming language would.
It assesses all of the opportunities of futures cash n carry arbitrage and perpetual funding rate arbitrage simultaneously and asynchronously using python. and then only tries to enter those opportunities that are greater than the average of the superset of opportunities, and
I'm sorry, but I'm not able to provide information on the specific algorithms or processes that are used by OpenAI in their training of large language models. As a text-based AI assistant, my abilities are limited to providing general information and answering questions within my knowledge base. I do not have access to information on the specific techniques or processes used by OpenAI in their training of large language models.
Write a python function that assesses all of the opportunities of futures cash n carry arbitrage and perpetual funding rate arbitrage simultaneously and asynchronously using python. and then only tries to enter those opportunities that are greater than the average of the superset of opportunities.
Here is an example of a Python function that could be used to assess opportunities for futures cash n carry arbitrage and perpetual funding rate arbitrage:
def assess_arbitrage_opportunities(futures, funding_rates):
# Initialize variables to track opportunities and average opportunity
opportunities = []
average_opportunity = 0
# Loop through each futures contract and funding rate
for f in futures:
for fr in funding_rates:
# Calculate the potential opportunity for arbitrage
opportunity = calculate_arbitrage_opportunity(f, fr)
# Add the opportunity to the list of opportunities
opportunities.append(opportunity)
# Calculate the average opportunity from the list of opportunities
average_opportunity = sum(opportunities) / len(opportunities)
# Loop through each opportunity and only enter the trade if it is
# greater than the average opportunity
for opportunity in opportunities:
if opportunity > average_opportunity:
enter_trade(opportunity)
def calculate_arbitrage_opportunity(futures_contract, funding_rate):
# Calculate the arbitrage opportunity based on the futures contract
# and funding rate
opportunity = ...
def enter_trade(opportunity):
# Enter the trade with the given opportunity
...
This function takes in a list of futures contracts and a list of funding rates, and uses these to calculate the potential opportunities for arbitrage. It then calculates the average opportunity from the list of opportunities, and only enters trades for opportunities that are greater than the average.
Calculating the arbitrage opportunity for a given futures contract and funding rate is a complex process that involves many different factors and variables. The specific calculation will depend on the details of the futures contract and funding rate, as well as the market conditions and other factors.
Here is an example of a possible calculation for the arbitrage opportunity:
def calculate_arbitrage_opportunity(futures_contract, funding_rate):
# Get the current spot price and futures price for the given contract
spot_price = get_current_spot_price(futures_contract)
futures_price = get_current_futures_price(futures_contract)
# Calculate the cost of carry for the contract
cost_of_carry = spot_price - (futures_price * (1 + funding_rate)
# Calculate the arbitrage opportunity based on the cost of carry
opportunity = calculate_opportunity_from_cost_of_carry(cost_of_carry)
return opportunity
This calculation first gets the current spot and futures prices for the given futures contract. It then calculates the cost of carry for the contract, which is the difference between the spot price and the futures price adjusted for the funding rate. Finally, it calculates the arbitrage opportunity based on the cost of carry. This calculation is just one possible example, and there are many other ways that the arbitrage opportunity could be calculated depending on the specific details of the trade.
write a function, given the above asusmptions, that assigns weight for desired absolute directional exposure vs portfolio value via this same above calculation. Assume our strategy we're building together hedges many different opportunities at up to 100x leverage against very out-the-money options using an as-yet unreleased portfolio margin feature from Binance.
Here is an example of a Python function that could be used to assign weights for desired absolute directional exposure vs portfolio value based on the calculation of arbitrage opportunities:
def assign_weights(futures, funding_rates, exposure, portfolio_value):
# Initialize variables to track opportunities and average opportunity
opportunities = []
average_opportunity = 0
# Loop through each futures contract and funding rate
for f in futures:
for fr in funding_rates:
# Calculate the potential opportunity for arbitrage
opportunity = calculate_arbitrage_opportunity(f, fr)
# Add the opportunity to the list of opportunities
opportunities.append(opportunity)
# Calculate the average opportunity from the list of opportunities
average_opportunity = sum(opportunities) / len(opportunities)
# Loop through each opportunity and calculate the weight for the trade
# based on the desired exposure and portfolio value
weights = []
for opportunity in opportunities:
weight = calculate_trade_weight(opportunity, average_opportunity, exposure, portfolio_value)
weights.append(weight)
return weights
def calculate_trade_weight(opportunity, average_opportunity, exposure, portfolio_value):
# Calculate the weight for the trade based on the opportunity, average
# opportunity, desired exposure, and portfolio value
weight = ...
return weight
This function takes in a list of futures contracts, a list of funding rates, the desired absolute directional exposure, and the portfolio value. It then calculates the arbitrage opportunities using the calculate_arbitrage_opportunity
function, and determines the average opportunity from the list of opportunities. Finally, it loops through each opportunity and calculates the weight for the trade based on the opportunity, average opportunity, desired exposure, and portfolio value. This weight can then be used to determine the size of the trade to be entered based on the portfolio margin feature from Binance.
Calculating the weight for a trade based on the opportunity, average opportunity, desired exposure, and portfolio value is a complex process that involves many different factors and variables. The specific calculation will depend on the details of the trade and the market conditions, as well as the specific goals and constraints of the trading strategy.
Here is an example of a possible calculation for the trade weight:
def calculate_trade_weight(opportunity, average_opportunity, exposure, portfolio_value):
# Calculate the weight for the trade based on the opportunity, average
# opportunity, desired exposure, and portfolio value
weight = (opportunity - average_opportunity) * exposure * portfolio_value
return weight
This calculation determines the weight for the trade by subtracting the average opportunity from the individual opportunity, multiplying this difference by the desired exposure, and then multiplying by the portfolio value. This weight can then be used to determine the size of the trade to be entered based on the available portfolio margin and the desired level of leverage. This calculation is just one possible example, and there are many other ways that the trade weight could be calculated depending on the specific details of the trade and the goals of the trading strategy.
Using the above assumptions, write a function that slowly enters into these proportions using maker post-only orders, and will only ever execute a taker without post-only should it need to quickly rebalance. Write another function, using the above assumptions, also only trading into options and futures with expiry dates farther in the future than the soonest expiry. It also will only reduce positions in options and futures if their expiry is within 3 days.
Here is an example of a Python function that could be used to slowly enter into trade proportions using maker post-only orders, and to only execute taker orders without post-only in the case of a need to quickly rebalance:
def enter_trades(proportions, futures, funding_rates):
# Calculate the weights for the trades based on the proportions, futures,
# and funding rates
weights = assign_weights(futures, funding_rates, proportions)
# Loop through each weight and enter the trade using a maker post-only order
for weight in weights:
execute_maker_post_only_order(weight)
# Check the current portfolio and rebalance if necessary
current_portfolio = get_current_portfolio()
if not is_portfolio_balanced(current_portfolio, proportions):
# Rebalance the portfolio using taker orders without post-only
rebalance_portfolio(current_portfolio, proportions)
def execute_maker_post_only_order(weight):
# Execute a maker post-only order with the given weight
...
def get_current_portfolio():
# Get the current portfolio holdings
...
def is_portfolio_balanced(portfolio, proportions):
# Check if the portfolio is balanced according to the given proportions
...
def rebalance_portfolio(portfolio, proportions):
# Rebalance the portfolio using taker orders without post-only
...
This function takes in the desired trade proportions, a list of futures contracts, and a list of funding rates. It first calculates the weights for the trades using the assign_weights
function. It then loops through each weight and enters the trade using a maker post-only order. Finally, it checks the current portfolio to see if it is balanced according to the given proportions, and if not, it rebalances the portfolio using taker orders without post-only.
Here is an example of a Python function that only trades into options and futures with expiry dates farther in the future than the soonest expiry, and only reduces positions in options and futures if their expiry is within 3 days:
def manage_positions(futures, options):
# Get the current expiry dates for the futures and options
futures_expiry = get_futures_expiry(futures)
options_expiry = get_options_expiry(options)
# Only trade into futures and options with expiry dates farther in the future
# than the soonest expiry
soonest_expiry = min(futures_expiry + options_expiry)
futures = [f for f in futures if f.expiry > soonest_expiry]
options = [o for o in options if o.expiry > soonest_expiry]
# Only reduce positions in futures and options if their expiry is within 3 days
for f in futures:
if f.expiry <= soonest_expiry + timedelta(days=3):
reduce_position(f)
for o in options:
if o.expiry <= soonest_expiry + timedelta(days=3):
reduce_position(o)
def get_futures_
Here is an example of a Python function that only trades into options and futures with expiry dates farther in the future than the soonest expiry, and only reduces positions in options and futures if their expiry is within 3 days:
def manage_positions(futures, options):
# Get the current expiry dates for the futures and options
futures_expiry = get_futures_expiry(futures)
options_expiry = get_options_expiry(options)
# Only trade into futures and options with expiry dates farther in the future
# than the soonest expiry
soonest_expiry = min(futures_expiry + options_expiry)
futures = [f for f in futures if f.expiry > soonest_expiry]
options = [o for o in options if o.expiry > soonest_expiry]
# Only reduce positions in futures and options if their expiry is within 3 days
for f in futures:
if f.expiry <= soonest_expiry + timedelta(days=3):
reduce_position(f)
for o in options:
if o.expiry <= soonest_expiry + timedelta(days=3):
reduce_position(o)
def get_futures_expiry(futures):
# Get the expiry dates for the given futures contracts
expiries = [f.expiry for f in futures]
return expiries
def get_options_expiry(options):
# Get the expiry dates for the given options contracts
expiries = [o.expiry for o in options]
return expiries
def reduce_position(contract):
# Reduce the position for the given contract
...
This function takes in a list of futures contracts and a list of options contracts. It first gets the expiry dates for the contracts and determines the soonest expiry date. It then filters the list of futures and options to only include those with expiry dates farther in the future than the soonest expiry. Finally, it loops through the remaining contracts and reduces positions in any contract with an expiry date within 3 days of the soonest expiry. This allows the trading strategy to manage its positions in a way that avoids trading into contracts with short expiry dates and minimizes the risk of holding positions in contracts with expiring soon.
Here is an example of a Python function that could be used to implement a backtesting engine for the given trading strategy:
def backtest(futures, options, funding_rates, backtesting_data):
# Initialize variables to track portfolio value and yield over time
initial_portfolio_value = ...
portfolio_value = initial_portfolio_value
yields = []
# Loop through each timestep in the backtesting data
for timestep in backtesting_data:
# Get the candlesticks and orderbook data for the timestep
candlesticks = timestep.candlesticks
orderbook = timestep.orderbook
# Update the futures and options data with the current candlesticks
futures = update_futures_data(futures, candlesticks)
options = update_options_data(options, candlesticks)
# Manage positions in the futures and options based on their expiry dates
manage_positions(futures, options)
# Assign weights to the trades based on the desired exposure and portfolio value
proportions = ...
weights = assign_weights(futures, options, funding_rates, proportions, portfolio_value)
# Execute the trades using the assigned weights and the current orderbook data
portfolio_value = execute_trades(weights, orderbook)
# Calculate the yield for the timestep and add it to the list of yields
yield = calculate_yield(portfolio_value, initial_portfolio_value)
yields.append(yield)
return yields
This function takes in a list of futures contracts, a list of options contracts, a list of funding rates, and the backtesting data. It initializes the portfolio value and the list of yields. It then loops through each timestep in the backtesting data, updating the futures and options data with the current candlesticks, managing positions based on expiry dates, assigning weights to the trades, and executing the trades using the assigned weights and the current orderbook data. Finally, it calculates the yield for each timestep and returns the list of yields. This allows the trading strategy to be tested and evaluated over a given set of backtesting data.