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US Fatal Police Shooting Analysis and Prediction: Conclusion and References

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Authors:

(1) Yuan Wang, University of Rochester (e-mail: [email protected]);

(2) Yangxin Fan, University of Rochester (e-mail: [email protected]).

Table of Links

Abstract and Introduction

Related work

Methodology

Media reporting analysis

WP fatal police shooting dataset insight

Fatal police shooting rate and victims race prediction

Conclusion and References

7. Conclusion

In conclusion, we found that mainstream media disproportional reporting fatal police shooting by the race, which may instigate hostile sentiments between police and the public. We suggest mainstream media report all news according to the realistic. Second, we found that the police shooting rate depends on many variables. The top four significant attributes were state joined year, state land area, gun ownership rate, and violent crime rate. Choosing these four attributes as predictors, our best-performed regression model could predict the fatal police shooting rate with about 88.53% correlation coefficient. Admittedly, we cannot find all the influence factors. It indicates that the fatal police shooting is a complex multi-dimensional problem. We also found two variables (police basic training hour, number of months police can work before basic training) appealed by CNBC negatively and weakly correlated with the fatal police shooting. Third, based on the WP dataset, we tried to depict a typical scenario when a police shooting happened and remark the hotspots among the country. Last, our three best performance models show no significant evidence to conclude that racial discrimination happened during fatal police shootings recorded by the WP dataset.

References

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[6] KilledByPolice. Police Shootings Database – Killed By Police. https://killedbypolice.net/.


[7] Kim Parker, Juliana Menasce Horowitz, Ruth Igielnik, J. Baxter Olophant and Anna Brown. The demographics of gun ownership. https: //www.pewsocialtrends.org/2017/06/22/ the-demographics-of-gun-ownership/.


[8] Lucas Mentch. On racial disparities in recent fatal police shootings. Statistics and Public Policy, 7(1):9–18, 2020.


[9] Cody T Ross. A multi-level bayesian analysis of racial bias in police shootings at the county-level in the united states, 2011–2014. PloS one, 10(11):e0141854, 2015.


[10] The Institute for Criminal Justice Training Reform. State Law Enforcement Training Requirements. https:// www.trainingreform.org/.


[11] Thomas Jefferson. United States Declaration of Independence. https://en.wikipedia.org/ wiki/United_States_Declaration_of_ Independence.


[12] U.S. Department of Justice. Criminal Victimization. https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/ cv19.pdf.


[13] Washington Post. Fatal Police Shooting Dataset. https://github.com/washingtonpost/ data-police-shootings.


[14] Washington Post. Police Shootin Database. https://www.washingtonpost. com/graphics/investigations/ police-shootings-database/.


[15] Wikipedia. List of current United States governors. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_ of_current_United_States_governors.


[16] Wikipedia. List of U.S. states and territories by area. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_ of_U.S._states_and_territories_by_area.


[17] World Population Review. Gun Ownership by State 2020. https://worldpopulationreview.com/ state-rankings/gun-ownership-by-state.


This paper is available on arxiv under CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 DEED license.


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