Ukuntu Tesla ihagaze kugirango itsinde isoko rya Robotaxi Muri 2030 hejuru ya Waymo, Zoox, Cruise, Uber, na Lyft

Kuki Tesla izaza Robotaxi ari ikintu gikomeye?

Uber yahimbwe igice imbere yanjye muri serwakira ya Paris na Garrett Camp na Travis Kalanick. Ibyo byanshize munzira yo gusobanukirwa Transport nka Service, mubyukuri nibyo Uber. Urategeka kugendera kuri mudasobwa, mubisanzwe terefone yawe, hanyuma umwe arahagera. Niba nshaka kujyana ku kibuga cy'indege cya San Francisco ubusanzwe bigura amadorari 70 yo gukora urugendo rw'isaha mvuye iwanjye i San Jose. Uber yakuze kuva muri serwakira ya Paris igera mubihugu byinshi mugihe cyimyaka itatu. Uber, kugeza ubu, itwarwa n'abantu. Abantu bafite ibyiza bimwe, bazana n'imodoka zabo, Uber rero ntabwo yari ikeneye gufata ibyago byose byo kubara.

Ariko bazanye nibibi byinshi. Bamwe bavuga cyane. Bamwe bahumura. Ndetse n'ibyatsi bibi. Bamwe bahagera badafite imbaraga. Bamwe bahohotera abatwara, cyangwa nabi. Nibyo, umwanya munini umuntu ukomeye yerekana imodoka nshya yicyitegererezo ibungabunzwe neza kandi ifite isuku, ariko ukoreshe Uber kwisi yose, nkanjye, kandi uzahura nibibazo. Kudahuza.

Kandi menya ko tutigeze tuvuga umubare wibiciro byabantu, haba mumadolari (umushahara muto ni amadorari 20 muri Californiya) cyangwa mubiciro byumutekano (ibyago byabantu mumodoka ni kenshi, aho muri Amerika buri mwaka hapfa abantu 40.000). Mugihe Tesla nshya igura amadorari 3 yo kwicara munzira yawe buri saha, ongeramo umuntu kandi ikiguzi kirenze cyane. Subira mu kibanza cyambere cyo kugurisha cya Elon (yampaye ku giti cyanjye mu ntangiriro) maze avuga ku gukubita imodoka umurage ku giciro n'uburambe. Yateguye Robotaxi kuva mbere yuko Model 3 yoherezwa muri 2017.Nabimenya nte? Kuberako imodoka ze zonyine zifite umuyaga w'amashanyarazi, ikintu kigikomeza kumusebya. Ba injeniyeri ba Mercedes bambwiye ku giti cyanjye abakiriya banga umuyaga w'amashanyarazi, kandi ko bashaka aho bahurira.

Ariko amashanyarazi ni yo azaguha uburambe bwiza, hamwe nibindi bintu byinshi, harimo sisitemu nziza y'amajwi kurusha izindi.

Ariko ugereranije nabandi izaba ifite ikirango cyiza kubera uku kwibanda kuburambe no guhuzagurika. Niki kigira ikirango gikomeye? Ntabwo, byanze bikunze kugira ibicuruzwa byiza. Starbucks, kurugero, ntabwo, kandi ndashobora kugushakira ibintu byiza byo kunywa kuruta Coke, ariko ibyo byombi nibirango bikomeye kuko birahuye kandi birahari hose. None, kubera iki Tesla ifite akamaro hano? Tuvuge iki kuri Waymo, Zoox, Cruise, cyangwa bake mubandi bashobora guhatanira Robotaxi? Umuhengeri wacyo ni uwuhe? Mu myaka yashize nakoze ubushakashatsi bwabaguzi, nzenguruka Amerika mubaza abantu "urashaka kwinjira mumodoka idafite moteri?" Benshi basubije "f ** k oya." Nize ibijyanye na tekinoroji ya tekinoroji kandi numvise imyigaragambyo buri gihe, ariko iyi yari intsimbaraye kumurimo wanjye. Nabiganiriyeho na Peter Norvig, wahoze afite uruhare runini muri Google R&D akavuga ko ariwe musore wabonye inkunga yo gutangiza umushinga w’ibinyabiziga byigenga, kuri ibi. Yambwiye ko Google isanzwe ifite amakuru yo kumenya ko nyuma yo kugenda gatatu muri Waymo bazizera byimazeyo ibinyabiziga byigenga kugeza aho bazashaka kubikoresha muri buri rugendo.

Niyi ngingo yingenzi "uyikoreshe kuri buri rugendo" ibona execs nabashoramari bashishikajwe nibinyabiziga byigenga. Ibi nabyumvise nabantu benshi batuye San Francisco bakunda serivise ya Waymo yo kuba bashobora kwitega mumodoka yigenga. Ariko kubera iki Tesla ifite akamaro? AI ya Tesla yatangiriye inyuma ya Waymo / Google ariko yiga vuba. Nizera ko bimaze kuba byiza kuruta Waymo muri rusange (Waymo iboneka gusa mumijyi mike mugihe Tesla yanjye yantwaye ibirometero 900 njya mukibaya cya Sun mvuye iwanjye i San Jose). Yaman yagize igitaramo cyiza hamwe na Omar wo muri Cataloge ya Mars yose abantu bose bagomba kureba igereranya Waymo na Tesla. Ubusanzwe AI ya Tesla yoroshye ahantu henshi .

Subira ku ngingo. Niba ugeze i Las Vegas mu nama cyangwa mu biruhuko ninde wahisemo gukoresha? Tesla? Waymo? Zoox? Cruise? Uber? Lyft? Cyangwa ikindi kirango cyangwa tagisi?

Ibyo mpanura nuko Tesla izatsinda byinshi mubucuruzi muri 2030. Kubera iki? Inararibonye.

• Kuba mu modoka ya Tesla bifite umutekano mu mpanuka kuruta ibinyabiziga andi masosiyete akoresha.

• Kuba muri Tesla bizagira uburambe bwiza, kuva kumuyaga kugeza kuri sisitemu yijwi.

• Gukoresha Tesla bizaba bihamye. Buriwese azi icyo gutumiza Cybertruck bizakora. Tagisi na Uber burigihe byerekana imodoka zitandukanye kuburyo bitazaba bihamye. Starbucks yerekana ko abantu bazahitamo ibicuruzwa bihamye kurenza kimwe cyiza, ariko ntabwo bihuye.

  
  

Ariko ingano ya flet niyo ifite akamaro rwose.

Igihe nabazaga Travis Kalanick washinze Uber, imbere y’ishuri ry’ubucuruzi rya Stanford, yambwiye ko afite intego imwe ikomeye: kugira imodoka hafi yawe ku buryo iyo utumije imwe, byatwaye iminota mike yo kwigaragaza. Niba ibinyabiziga bitatu byari bitegereje hafi noneho abashoferi ntibakoreshwaga neza, bikabatera ubwoba kubera ko badahembwa. Niba ntanumwe uri hafi noneho bisaba igihe kinini kugirango imodoka ikugereho. Ninde ufite amato manini? Imodoka yigenga? Nta numwe muri bo usibye Tesla uri kumuhanda wanjye kandi kumuhanda wanjye hari Teslas 13. Benshi kuburyo nshobora kugenda kurindi Tesla mumasegonda. Byihuta kuruta uko nabona San Francisco. Ntabwo byari bikenewe no kuntwara!

Ingano yimodoka ifite akamaro mubundi buryo bwinshi, cyane cyane uburambe. Kubera iki? Muraho, reka tuvuge ko hari agatsiko ka Teslas kumuhanda imbere yawe. Bashobora "kubona" ibintu byose, uhereye kumuriro, imyigaragambyo, ibikorwa bya polisi, kandi barashobora kubimenyesha sisitemu yo kugenzura ikora umuyoboro. Irashobora rero kunyura mubibazo byihuse kuruta iyindi miyoboro. Ibyo bituma uburambe burushaho kuba bwiza. Niba ushobora kubona ko ifite amakuru-nyayo, uziga kwiringira imwe ifite amakuru-nyayo kuri ecran kurenza imwe idafite amakuru menshi. Ikitugeza ku kindi kintu. Twese abafite Tesla dufite porogaramu ikora kuri terefone zacu. Ibyo birashobora kugaburira amakuru menshi murusobe, nkukuntu akazi gahuze nijoro cyangwa resitora. Cyangwa ibisobanuro birambuye kubyabaye. Mubyukuri ntanumwe muri twe ufite porogaramu ya Waymo kuri terefone zacu. Abantu benshi ntibigeze bumva na Waymo. Uber? Nibyo! Ariko izanye numuntu uzana ibibazo byavuzwe haruguru nigiciro kiri hejuru. Tuvuze ibiciro. Waymo ifite LiDARs zihenze kandi zifite compte nyinshi kurenza Tesla ikora kugirango igabanye kamera na LiDAR. Tesla yajyanye na kamera yegera gusa, ntabwo ihendutse kuri buri kinyabiziga, ariko irasa neza cyane kandi irashobora kwihishwa imbere yimodoka isa neza. Waymo yagiye yangizwa inshuro nyinshi kuko aribimenyetso bishya, dystopiya, imyaka, nkuko umwe mubagenzi banjye yabivuze. Tesla gusa iri hose mumijyi myinshi, cyane cyane umuntu hafi ya San Francisco kuburyo itazakurura abantu nkabo. Noneho, ibyo nahanuye: Muri 2030: Tesla robotaxi izaba ihendutse kuruta iyindi miyoboro.

Tesla izaba ifite ecran na sisitemu nziza kugirango ukoreshe. Filime, uburezi, umuziki, guhamagarwa kuri videwo, nibindi, bizaba byiza muri Tesla kandi bihamye. Tesla izaba ifite umutekano, kandi ijye ahantu henshi. Inzira ya Tesla izatora inzira izaba nziza. Cyane cyane hafi y'ibirori bikomeye nk'ibitaramo, ibirori bya siporo, n'ibindi. Umuyaga wa Tesla, intebe, indorerwamo, urwego rwamajwi, uhita ushyirwaho kugirango wihariye. Porogaramu n'ibinyabiziga bya Tesla biguha ibisobanuro birambuye, biganisha ku bunararibonye bwiza "hari umurongo w'iminota 14. kuri McDonalds."

Reka tubivuge neza: Ikiguzi cya Tesla cyo kugura abakiriya kizaba hafi zeru, mugihe Waymo cyangwa Zoox bizakenera gukoresha byinshi kugirango habeho imyumvire n'imyitwarire. Ntabwo ntekereza ko bazashobora kumvisha umukoresha wa Tesla guhindukira kurubuga rwabo bitewe nuburambe bwiza nigiciro gito ntegereje ko Tesla agira. Kurangiza, kuri ubu, reka tuvuge ko ushaka kujyana umukunzi wawe mumujyi rwagati ijoro ryo gukundana. Muri Uber hari umushoferi ufata imwe mu myanya ibiri myiza. Muri Tesla? Oya. Itariki rero nijoro ninzira nziza. Ku wa kane nijoro tuzareba uburyo bwiza cyane.