Can Deep Reinforcement Learning Transform Hedging for American Put Options?
by Economic Hedging TechnologyOctober 29th, 2024
Too Long; Didn't Read
This article examines deep reinforcement learning's effectiveness in hedging American put options, highlighting the DDPG method's superior performance over traditional Black-Scholes Delta strategies, particularly in scenarios involving transaction costs and market-calibrated stochastic volatility.
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Authors:
(1) Reilly Pickard, Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3G8, Canada ([email protected]);
(2) Finn Wredenhagen, Ernst & Young LLP, Toronto, ON, M5H 0B3, Canada;
(3) Julio DeJesus, Ernst & Young LLP, Toronto, ON, M5H 0B3, Canada;
(4) Mario Schlener, Ernst & Young LLP, Toronto, ON, M5H 0B3, Canada;
(5) Yuri Lawryshyn, Department of Chemical Engineering and Applied Chemistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3E5, Canada.
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Introduction
ABSTRACT: This article leverages deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to hedge American put options, utilizing the deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) method. The agents are first trained and tested with Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) asset paths and demonstrate superior performance over traditional strategies like the Black-Scholes (BS) Delta, particularly in the presence of transaction costs. To assess the real-world applicability of DRL hedging, a second round of experiments uses a market-calibrated stochastic volatility model to train DRL agents. Specifically, 80 put options across 8 symbols are collected, stochastic volatility model coefficients are calibrated for each symbol, and a DRL agent is trained for each of the 80 options by simulating paths of the respective calibrated model. Not only do DRL agents outperform the BS Delta method when testing is conducted using the same calibrated stochastic volatility model data from training, but DRL agents achieves better results when hedging the true asset path that occurred between the option sale date and the maturity. As such, not only does this study present the first DRL agents tailored for American put option hedging, but results on both simulated and empirical market testing data also suggest the optimality of DRL agents over the BS Delta method in real-world scenarios. Finally, note that this study employs a model-agnostic Chebyshev interpolation method to provide DRL agents with option prices at each time step when a stochastic volatility model is used, thereby providing a general framework for an easy extension to more complex underlying asset processes.
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